Two main factors determine the starting point and curve of your ball: swing path and the relationship of the clubface to that path.
If you get to impact and the back of your lead hand is aimed at your target (assuming a neutral grip), your ball will start out in that direction. If your ball curves to the right or the left, you know the path of your swing was off.
Trouble starts when you roll your hands over to try to actively release the club and square the face.
That really makes you too reliant on perfect timing.
Instead, focus on getting that logo on the top of your glove to face the target at impact. Your shots will start on line more consistently.
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